Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Northeastern Region

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General Information
Study Number: TPF-5(249)
Lead Organization: Federal Highway Administration
Contract Start Date: Aug 01, 2012
Solicitation Number: 1273
Partners: CT, MA, ME, NHDOT, NY, VT
Status: Closed
Est. Completion Date: Dec 31, 2015
Contract/Other Number:
Last Updated: Jun 04, 2021
Contract End Date: Sep 30, 2014
Financial Summary
Contract Amount:
Total Commitments Received: $789,885.00
100% SP&R Approval: Approved
Contact Information
Lead Study Contact(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
FHWA Technical Liaison(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
Study Champion(s): Ginger Griffin
Ginger.Griffin@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3022
Organization Year Commitments Technical Contact Name Funding Contact Name Contact Number Email Address
Connecticut Department of Transportation 2011 $18,000.00 Michael Hogan Melanie Zimyeski (860)594-2144 Melanie.Zimyeski@ct.gov
Connecticut Department of Transportation 2012 $18,000.00 Michael Hogan Melanie Zimyeski (860)594-2144 Melanie.Zimyeski@ct.gov
Connecticut Department of Transportation 2013 $18,000.00 Michael Hogan Melanie Zimyeski (860)594-2144 Melanie.Zimyeski@ct.gov
Maine Department of Transportation 2011 $34,500.00 Charles Hebson Dale Peabody 207- 624-3305 Dale.Peabody@maine.gov
Maine Department of Transportation 2012 $34,500.00 Charles Hebson Dale Peabody 207- 624-3305 Dale.Peabody@maine.gov
Maine Department of Transportation 2013 $34,500.00 Charles Hebson Dale Peabody 207- 624-3305 Dale.Peabody@maine.gov
Massachusetts Department of Transportation 2011 $30,000.00 Alexander Bardow Stephen Pepin 857-368-8870 stephen.pepin@state.ma.us
Massachusetts Department of Transportation 2012 $30,000.00 Alexander Bardow Stephen Pepin 857-368-8870 stephen.pepin@state.ma.us
Massachusetts Department of Transportation 2013 $28,027.00 Alexander Bardow Stephen Pepin 857-368-8870 stephen.pepin@state.ma.us
New Hampshire Department of Transportation 2011 $30,000.00 Glenn Roberts 603-271-3151 Glenn.Roberts@dot.nh.gov
New Hampshire Department of Transportation 2012 $30,000.00 Glenn Roberts 603-271-3151 Glenn.Roberts@dot.nh.gov
New Hampshire Department of Transportation 2013 $20,513.00 Glenn Roberts 603-271-3151 Glenn.Roberts@dot.nh.gov
New York State Department of Transportation 2011 $133,282.00 Wayne Gannett Gary Frederick 518-457-4645 gary.frederick@dot.ny.gov
New York State Department of Transportation 2012 $133,282.00 Wayne Gannett Gary Frederick 518-457-4645 gary.frederick@dot.ny.gov
New York State Department of Transportation 2013 $133,281.00 Wayne Gannett Gary Frederick 518-457-4645 gary.frederick@dot.ny.gov
Vermont Agency of Transportation 2011 $21,500.00 Bill Ahearn Jennifer Fitch 802-828-2553 Jennifer.Fitch@state.vt.us
Vermont Agency of Transportation 2012 $20,000.00 Bill Ahearn Jennifer Fitch 802-828-2553 Jennifer.Fitch@state.vt.us
Vermont Agency of Transportation 2013 $22,500.00 Bill Ahearn Jennifer Fitch 802-828-2553 Jennifer.Fitch@state.vt.us

Study Description

In some parts of the country, rainfall maps have not been updated for approximately 50 years. That means we are ignoring the last 50 years of rainfall data in our basic hydrologic estimates for drainage structures. NOAA has updated parts of the country in various volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 with funding through regional climatic centers and other pooled funding arrangements. NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) proposes updating precipitation frequency estimates for the states not included in NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 1 (AZ, southeast CA, NM, NV, UT), Volume 2 (DE, DC, IL, IN, KY, MD, NC, NJ, OH, PA, SC, TN, VA, WV), and Volume 3 (PR, VI). The proposal includes updating estimates for the Pacific Island dependencies. The updates will be published as subsequent Volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 "Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of the United States"; on the web at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc;. The solicitations are by climatic regions. This particular solicitation is for the Northeastern Region and is of interest to the following States: CT, MA, ME, NH, NY, RI. VT

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to determine annual exceedance probabilities (AEP) and average recurrence intervals (ARI) for durations ranging from 5 minutes to 60 days and for ARIs from 1 to 1,000 years. The point estimates will be spatially interpolated to a spatial resolution of approximately 4km x 4 km. The study results will be published as volumes of NOAA Atlas 14, a wholly web based publication available at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The publication will include the artifacts provided in Volumes 1 and 2 including access through the Precipitation Frequency Data Server, base grids in standard formats, electronic copies of maps, results of trend analyses, charts of seasonal distributions and probabilistic temporal distributions, and detailed documentation. Updated areal reduction factors are being developed as a separate appendix to NOAA Atlas 14 for the entire U.S. including Alaska. The project will review and process all reasonably available rainfall data. It is recognized that the rainfall data archived by NOAA';s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) may not be sufficient to accomplish the objectives of this project. Therefore, other data available from sources such as State Climatologists and other Federal, State and local agencies will be examined and included if appropriate. The state of the art techniques and processes developed and applied for NOAA Atlas 14 Volumes 1 and 2 will be applied. They include regional frequency analysis based on L-moments including error estimates, a combination of PRISM based techniques and CRAB for spatial interpolation, techniques for the analysis of climatic trend, temporal distribution and seasonality, internal consistency checks and variety of automated processes designed to enhance productivity. Intermediate results in the form of hourly and daily estimates at several ARIs will be distributed for peer review as will the final documentation.

Scope of Work

The attached proposed Statement of Work by NOAA provides detailed information on the following:

Task 1 - Data Collection and Quality Control

Task 2 - Regionalization

Task 3 - Frequency Distribution Selection and Fitting Studies

Task 4 - Frequency Calculations

Task 5 - Short Duration Estimates

Task 6 - Internal Consistency at Observing Locations

Task 7 - Spatial Interpolation and Consistency

Task 8 - Mapping and other Spatial Artifacts

Task 9 - Temporal Distributions

Task 10 - Peer Reviews

Task 11 - Documentation

Task 12 - Final Deliverables

Task 13 - Status Reporting

Comments

Commitments required: $745,000 with the following estimate by States: CT($57,457), MA ($88,027), ME ($103,474), NH($80,513), NY($339,845), RI ($10,711), VT ($64,519).

Documents Attached
Title File/Link Type Privacy Download
Atlas14 Volume10 Atlas14_Volume10.pdf Final Report Public
Acceptance Memo Lead-Agency-for-Pooled-Fund-Study-TPF-5(249)Memo.pdf Memorandum Public
TPF-5(249) Waiver Approval Letter TPF-5(249) Approved waiver solicit#1273.pdf Memorandum Public
Closeout Memo TPF-5(249) Closeout Memo-.pdf Memorandum Public
PR_TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187) for April to June 2011 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2014 PR TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2014 PR TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2015 PR TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2015.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2015 PR TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2015.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2015 PR TPF-5(249) for Jun to Sep 2015.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Documents Attached
Title File/Link Type Privacy Download
Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Northeastern Region 1273.pdf Solicitation Public

Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Northeastern Region

General Information
Study Number: TPF-5(249)
Lead Organization: Federal Highway Administration
Contract Start Date: Aug 01, 2012
Solicitation Number: 1273
Partners: CT, MA, ME, NHDOT, NY, VT
Status: Closed
Est. Completion Date: Dec 31, 2015
Contract/Other Number:
Last Updated: Jun 04, 2021
Contract End Date: Sep 30, 2014
Financial Summary
Contract Amount:
Total Commitments Received: $789,885.00
100% SP&R Approval:
Contact Information
Lead Study Contact(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
FHWA Technical Liaison(s): Kornel Kerenyi
kornel.kerenyi@dot.gov
Phone: 202-493-3142
Commitments by Organizations
Organization Year Commitments Technical Contact Name Funding Contact Name Contact Number Email Address
Connecticut Department of Transportation 2011 $18,000.00 Michael Hogan Melanie Zimyeski (860)594-2144 Melanie.Zimyeski@ct.gov
Connecticut Department of Transportation 2012 $18,000.00 Michael Hogan Melanie Zimyeski (860)594-2144 Melanie.Zimyeski@ct.gov
Connecticut Department of Transportation 2013 $18,000.00 Michael Hogan Melanie Zimyeski (860)594-2144 Melanie.Zimyeski@ct.gov
Maine Department of Transportation 2011 $34,500.00 Charles Hebson Dale Peabody 207- 624-3305 Dale.Peabody@maine.gov
Maine Department of Transportation 2012 $34,500.00 Charles Hebson Dale Peabody 207- 624-3305 Dale.Peabody@maine.gov
Maine Department of Transportation 2013 $34,500.00 Charles Hebson Dale Peabody 207- 624-3305 Dale.Peabody@maine.gov
Massachusetts Department of Transportation 2011 $30,000.00 Alexander Bardow Stephen Pepin 857-368-8870 stephen.pepin@state.ma.us
Massachusetts Department of Transportation 2012 $30,000.00 Alexander Bardow Stephen Pepin 857-368-8870 stephen.pepin@state.ma.us
Massachusetts Department of Transportation 2013 $28,027.00 Alexander Bardow Stephen Pepin 857-368-8870 stephen.pepin@state.ma.us
New Hampshire Department of Transportation 2011 $30,000.00 Glenn Roberts 603-271-3151 Glenn.Roberts@dot.nh.gov
New Hampshire Department of Transportation 2012 $30,000.00 Glenn Roberts 603-271-3151 Glenn.Roberts@dot.nh.gov
New Hampshire Department of Transportation 2013 $20,513.00 Glenn Roberts 603-271-3151 Glenn.Roberts@dot.nh.gov
New York State Department of Transportation 2011 $133,282.00 Wayne Gannett Gary Frederick 518-457-4645 gary.frederick@dot.ny.gov
New York State Department of Transportation 2012 $133,282.00 Wayne Gannett Gary Frederick 518-457-4645 gary.frederick@dot.ny.gov
New York State Department of Transportation 2013 $133,281.00 Wayne Gannett Gary Frederick 518-457-4645 gary.frederick@dot.ny.gov
Vermont Agency of Transportation 2011 $21,500.00 Bill Ahearn Jennifer Fitch 802-828-2553 Jennifer.Fitch@state.vt.us
Vermont Agency of Transportation 2012 $20,000.00 Bill Ahearn Jennifer Fitch 802-828-2553 Jennifer.Fitch@state.vt.us
Vermont Agency of Transportation 2013 $22,500.00 Bill Ahearn Jennifer Fitch 802-828-2553 Jennifer.Fitch@state.vt.us

Study Description

Study Description

In some parts of the country, rainfall maps have not been updated for approximately 50 years. That means we are ignoring the last 50 years of rainfall data in our basic hydrologic estimates for drainage structures. NOAA has updated parts of the country in various volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 with funding through regional climatic centers and other pooled funding arrangements. NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) proposes updating precipitation frequency estimates for the states not included in NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 1 (AZ, southeast CA, NM, NV, UT), Volume 2 (DE, DC, IL, IN, KY, MD, NC, NJ, OH, PA, SC, TN, VA, WV), and Volume 3 (PR, VI). The proposal includes updating estimates for the Pacific Island dependencies. The updates will be published as subsequent Volumes of NOAA Atlas 14 "Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of the United States"; on the web at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc;. The solicitations are by climatic regions. This particular solicitation is for the Northeastern Region and is of interest to the following States: CT, MA, ME, NH, NY, RI. VT

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to determine annual exceedance probabilities (AEP) and average recurrence intervals (ARI) for durations ranging from 5 minutes to 60 days and for ARIs from 1 to 1,000 years. The point estimates will be spatially interpolated to a spatial resolution of approximately 4km x 4 km. The study results will be published as volumes of NOAA Atlas 14, a wholly web based publication available at www.nws.noaa.gov/ohd/hdsc. The publication will include the artifacts provided in Volumes 1 and 2 including access through the Precipitation Frequency Data Server, base grids in standard formats, electronic copies of maps, results of trend analyses, charts of seasonal distributions and probabilistic temporal distributions, and detailed documentation. Updated areal reduction factors are being developed as a separate appendix to NOAA Atlas 14 for the entire U.S. including Alaska. The project will review and process all reasonably available rainfall data. It is recognized that the rainfall data archived by NOAA';s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) may not be sufficient to accomplish the objectives of this project. Therefore, other data available from sources such as State Climatologists and other Federal, State and local agencies will be examined and included if appropriate. The state of the art techniques and processes developed and applied for NOAA Atlas 14 Volumes 1 and 2 will be applied. They include regional frequency analysis based on L-moments including error estimates, a combination of PRISM based techniques and CRAB for spatial interpolation, techniques for the analysis of climatic trend, temporal distribution and seasonality, internal consistency checks and variety of automated processes designed to enhance productivity. Intermediate results in the form of hourly and daily estimates at several ARIs will be distributed for peer review as will the final documentation.

Scope of Work

The attached proposed Statement of Work by NOAA provides detailed information on the following:

Task 1 - Data Collection and Quality Control

Task 2 - Regionalization

Task 3 - Frequency Distribution Selection and Fitting Studies

Task 4 - Frequency Calculations

Task 5 - Short Duration Estimates

Task 6 - Internal Consistency at Observing Locations

Task 7 - Spatial Interpolation and Consistency

Task 8 - Mapping and other Spatial Artifacts

Task 9 - Temporal Distributions

Task 10 - Peer Reviews

Task 11 - Documentation

Task 12 - Final Deliverables

Task 13 - Status Reporting

Comments

Commitments required: $745,000 with the following estimate by States: CT($57,457), MA ($88,027), ME ($103,474), NH($80,513), NY($339,845), RI ($10,711), VT ($64,519).

Title File/Link Type Private
Atlas14 Volume10 Atlas14_Volume10.pdf Final Report Public
Acceptance Memo Lead-Agency-for-Pooled-Fund-Study-TPF-5(249)Memo.pdf Memorandum Public
TPF-5(249) Waiver Approval Letter TPF-5(249) Approved waiver solicit#1273.pdf Memorandum Public
Closeout Memo TPF-5(249) Closeout Memo-.pdf Memorandum Public
PR_TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187) for April to June 2011 PR_TPF-5(175)_TPF-5(186)andTPF-5(187)_for_Apr_to_Jun2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2011 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2011.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2012 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2012.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2013 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2013.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2014 PR TPF-5(175) TPF-5(186), TPF-5(187) and TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2014 PR TPF-5(249) for Jul to Sep 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: October - December 2014 PR TPF-5(249) for Oct to Dec 2014.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: January - March 2015 PR TPF-5(249) for Jan to Mar 2015.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: April - June 2015 PR TPF-5(249) for Apr to Jun 2015.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Progress Report: July - September 2015 PR TPF-5(249) for Jun to Sep 2015.pdf Quarterly Progress Report Public
Title File/Link Type Private
Updating U.S. Precipitation Frequency Estimates for the Northeastern Region 1273.pdf Solicitation Public

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